Recent Winners
Shocks are often a feature of this event, and only two favourites have won in the last thirteen years. Cheltenham is always a tough place for novice chasers, and the quicker pace of Festival races and the stamina sapping trip have all probably contributed to this statistic.
The key then is to find tough, stamina laidened contenders who jump well, even if they don’t boast as much form or potential as some of their rivals. - cheltenhamfestival.net
AIR FORCE ONE 2 pts WIN @ 8/1 is my Ante-post bet for the race.
Key Trends
30 of the last 33 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out.
11 of the last 13 winners were aged 7 or 8.
2 winning favourites since 1992, but 9 of last 13 winners started between 2nd-4th fav. - cheltenhamreview.net
18 Feb 2008 - Albertas Run joined Air Force One at the head of the betting for the Royal & SunAlliance Chase after beating that rival by almost two lengths in the Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase at Ascot. They both share top spot on the 5/1 mark, while Joe Lively, who finished out with the washing in the same contest, is now 14/1 (was 8s). - williamhill
9 Feb update
MONEY TRIX will NOT run in the race. He has had a little problem and is undergoing treatment which will last for around 2 weeks - rp. - cheltenhamfestival.net
SILVERBURN - Current BEST odds available: 16/1 with Willliam Hill
RacingPost (3 Feb 2008)
He's in he ARKLE as well as the Sun Alliance but the only way he would run in the ARKLE is if it were absolutely bottomless, so it's highly likely he will run in the RSA. 3 miles round Cheltenham will suit him - P. Nicholls (Trainer)
TIDAL BAY, currently as low as 6/1 fav on some books for the SUN ALLIANCE Chase.
RacingPost (3 Feb 2008)
Tidal Bay didn't run up to his best. He raced keenly in the lead, a tactic that probably wasn't ideal for him, but it was his jumping that really let him down. He can jump, but he was getting in tight early on, and made a complete mess of the seventh when going in too long. Although he came back to lead again three out, and was clear going to the last, he completely misjudged the final fence, did well to stand up, but lost out in a driving finish.
On this evidence you wouldn't want to consider him for any race, either over 2m or 3m at Cheltenham, for his jumping just isn't good enough. However, he is talented, though probably not a two-miler, and he shouldn't be written off completely but needs to regain confidence in his jumping.
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