Friday, February 15, 2008

CHELTENHAM 2008 - FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR H'CAP CHASE



Race Conditions
The Kim Muir Challenge Cup (4:40pm) is a Class B handicap chase run over three miles and about half a furlong. It is open to horses aged five years old and upwards. All horses are ridden by amateur jockeys.

Recent Winners
The Kim Muir is one of the hardest races of the Festival to predict, with eight double figure price winners in the last twelve years.

With only amateur jockeys allowed to ride in the race, the jockey’s form and ability can often be as important as the horse’s.

Many will also be keen to base their selection on the trainer and, given their outstanding record at the meeting, that will often mean looking no further than the Pipe yard. However, it is not always their most fancied runner that performs best. In a number of Festival events in recent years, their second, third or even fourth string has often sprung a surprise, as illustrated by the past successes of Maximise and Royal Predica in this race.

Key Trends
No Irish-trained winner for 25 years (supplied 6 of last 12 favourites).

Only 3 favorites in the last 13 runnings have been successful.

8 and 9 year-olds have won 10 of last 14 renewals from less than 50% of the runners.

22 of the last 30 win and placed horses started at odds of 16/1+. -
cheltenhamreview.net

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