Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Horses to Follow
Today at 1.15 at Punchestown EBAZIYAN runs in a hurdle race, and although a bit short to back on his first run this season, hopefully he should put in an impressive performance.
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Four more horses that should be on your list for the rest of the season, if not there already.
GIVE IT TIME
RED MOLONEY
GONE TO LUNCH
DAVES DREAM
Be Lucky!!
Sunday, December 28, 2008
Horses to Follow
A few good winners from our Horses to Follow list in the last couple of days.
HURRICANE FLY - Very highly thought of by his trainer.
COUSIN VINNY - Hopefully will improve again after his first win over hurdles
STARLUCK - Another with plenty of potential, unbeaten in 3 over hurdles
NATIONAL PETITION - Kept up his winning streak and could be still improving
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2 more from the list that hopefully should win for us:
1.30 leop TRAFFORD LAD - Should get Evens or better on the exchanges
2.35 leop NEPTUNE COLLONGES
Be Lucky!!
Friday, December 26, 2008
LAYing Staking Plan
Someone emailed me asking how to use a Staking plan when LAYing horses (Betting on them to lose).
A simple Staking plan is to risk 2% of your betting bank on each LAY bet.
So for example if you have a Betting Bank of £1000, you risk £20 (2% of Bank) in each LAY bet.
If the horse you are LAYing is 2/1, the Backers stake will be £10, meaning if the horse loses you WIN £10.
If the horse wins however you will LOSE £20.
You can recalculate the size of your Bank at the end of each day or at the end of each week, whichever you find the most convenient.
So if you decide to recalculate weekly, and your Bank stands at £1100 after 1 week, you now risk £22 (2% of the Bank) in each LAY bet.
Hope that makes sense to everybody!!
Wednesday, December 24, 2008
AND I LAUGHED!!
A few funnies from around the forums:
"years ago on grand national day,a novice punter asked me to fill in his betting slip,when i asked if he was paying tax,his reply was no,i am at college."
"old jamaican man 'that jockey couldnt ride my sister'"
"HE NO TRY! HE NO TRY! HE NO TRY!
Chinese punters getting angry at one of the jockeys @ portman park."
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Horses to Follow
Been a bit lax recently, but one to be on today and also for the notebook is:
OUR BOMBER HARRIS in the 1.15 at Fontwell.
You could well see this one lining up in the Cheltenham Gold Cup in a couple of years!!
Listening to an interview with a very bullish George Baker today,he thinks KANGRINA @ 9/2 is his best chance of the day and BUGSYS BOY @ 6/1 is a cracking e/w bet.
1.45 BUGSYS BOY
2.00 KANGRINA
Be Lucky!!
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Horses to Follow
There are a few horses to be added to the horse to follow list that have run well in the last few days.
Some horses won, others ran a place, but for most it was their first run of the season and they should all have come on for the run.
The following horses have been added to my list to be followed next time out.
STARLUCK - Won his 2nd race this season.
COMPANERO - Won @ 9/4 and is one to follow when the mud is flying.
PARLESOTHO - Won @ 9/2: Follow in mares only hurdle races
KALAHARI KING - Won: Could be a Cheltenham festival winner!!
COOLDINE - Won: Another who could be exceptional over fences.
BE LUCKY!!
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Premium Rate Phone Line Scams!!
TRADING STANDARDS
Premium Rate Line Scams
Consumers are warned to beware of phoning telephone numbers beginning 070. These are non regulated personal numbers where the charge per minute can be anything from 35p to £1.50 (approx).
A number of consumers contacted the service to report that they had have received an automated phone message that purported (falsely) to come from a leading courier company. The message told them that there was a radio awaiting their collection and asked them to phone an 070 number to confirm a delivery time.
It is possible therefore that if a caller spent several minutes on the phone the cost may exceed the value of the radio, should they actually receive a delivery (we cannot confirm at this time that anyone has received a radio).
- http://www.warwickshire.gov.uk/web/c...256FA400422469
Premium Rate Line Scams
Consumers are warned to beware of phoning telephone numbers beginning 070. These are non regulated personal numbers where the charge per minute can be anything from 35p to £1.50 (approx).
A number of consumers contacted the service to report that they had have received an automated phone message that purported (falsely) to come from a leading courier company. The message told them that there was a radio awaiting their collection and asked them to phone an 070 number to confirm a delivery time.
It is possible therefore that if a caller spent several minutes on the phone the cost may exceed the value of the radio, should they actually receive a delivery (we cannot confirm at this time that anyone has received a radio).
- http://www.warwickshire.gov.uk/web/c...256FA400422469
Friday, November 14, 2008
Horses to Follow
Fridays Results
Horses to Follow results:
12.00 kel KNOCKARA BEAU - 3rd
Racing Post - Knockara Beau contested a far better race last time but went off too quickly in the soft ground. Restrained this time, he got badly outpaced rounding the final bend before making relentless headway up the hill to snatch third on the line. He has the size to make a chaser.
12.50 sand SUPREME DUKE
1.20 sand PLANET OF SOUND
Racing Post - Planet Of Sound was well backed against the favourite having already beaten him over hurdles. He was held up early before closing up running out of the back straight but never looked likely to reel in the leaders. Nevertheless, he was not given too hard a time once it was clear he could not close the gap and he can be expected to benefit from this first run over fences.
1.45 winc HORA - 3rd
Racing Post - Hora was conceding lumps of weight all round, having been put up 18lb for destroying her rivals in a novices' handicap at Aintree two week's ago, and in the end it all proved a bit much for the 4yo. She was travelling least well of the front trio as they approached 2 out, and could only plug on at the one pace. She has plenty of size and scope though and don't rule out further improvement, but it is probably needed off this mark.
2.50 winc TAKEROC - 2nd
Racing Post - Takeroc has reportedly improved over the summer, strengthening well, and the softer ground on this occasion was expected to help. He set off in front at a brisk gallop and all seemed to be going well as Walsh was looking round to see where Katchit was, but Chomba Womba possessed too much speed and he was left trailing from 2 out.
He kept on right the way to the line though, and this should set him up perfectly for a return to fences, especially as connections felt the run would do him good. He provides his trainer with yet another contender for all the top 2m chases this season, but has a way to go before he can be considered a serious threat to stablemate Master Minded.
3.55 winc ACORDEON
Racing Post - Acordeon set the standard of those to have raced, having finished a really promising second on his debut at Ludlow last season (very green), and he still looked to be travelling well turning in, but could not race on with thewinner and ultimately finished very tired, getting run out of the places. He is clearly thought to be capable of better and deserves another chance on better ground.
HTF RECORD SO FAR
-£600
12w - 9pl - 29
b/f +£803.91
c/f +£203.91
Today’s HTF runners:
American Trilogy - 1:50 - Cheltenham, 2m 0f 110y
Past Form: Won on his latest outing in a maiden hurdle race when evens fav at Aintree over 2m (soft) last month, beating Hernando Royal by 2 3/4l.
Santo Stefano - 12:30 - Newcastle, 2m 0f 0y
Past Form: Placed in three NH flat races from three starts. Beaten 13l by Bentons Choice when second of 9 at 10-11fav on his latest outing in a NH flat race at Hexham over 2m (heavy) in March.
Raysrock - 1.00 Newcastle, 2m 4f 0y
Past Form: Successful in two hurdle races at 2m on soft and heavy ground. Third of 10 behind Crocodiles Rock beaten 11l at 13-2 on his latest outing in a chase at Carlisle over 2m (heavy) last month.
River Shanakill - 1.30 Newcastle, 2m 4f 0y
Past Form: Having her first run for a new stable today, previously with James Joseph Mangan in Ireland. Top rated mare in Irish poin-to-point's; has won 2 of 4 starts.
BE LUCKY!!
Saturday, November 8, 2008
Horses to Follow
Thursdays Results
Horses to Follow results:
2.40 hayd COE
racingPost - Coe was rated 128 over hurdles, the same as today's winner, but he made a mistake at the second fence and his rider dropped his whip, which was obviously far from ideal for a chasing debutant. He can do better back over further on easier ground.
racingPost - Naiad Du Misselot, last year's Coral Cup winner, ran a huge race on his chasing debut. Racing on ground quicker than his trainer considered ideal, he made a bad mistake early on, but quickly recovered and travelled as well as anything. He looked the likeliest winner approaching the last, and produced a better jump there than Rightway Star, but he was ultimately just run out of it. He had reportedly done plenty of work, but he can still be expected to come on for this and he looks a smart recruit to chasing.
4.10 hayd ALFLORA DORA
racingPost -Alflora Dora was nowhere near the form she showed on her only previous start in a Cheltenham bumper in April.
HTF RECORD SO FAR
-£200
12w - 6pl - 23
b/f +£1003.91
c/f +£803.91
Today’s HTF runners:
12.00 kel KNOCKARA BEAU
12.50 sand SUPREME DUKE
1.20 sand PLANET OF SOUND
1.45 winc HORA
2.50 winc TAKEROC
3.55 winc ACORDEON
BE LUCKY!!
Thursday, November 6, 2008
Horses to Follow
Saturdays Results
Horses to Follow results:
1.35 asc FONT
2.05 asc AIR FORCE ONE - 2nd
2.40 asc MAD MAX - NR
3.00 weth LIBERATE E/W
3.15 asc FRENCH SAULAIE
3.35 weth STATE OF PLAY - 1st @ 5/2
3.50 asc RIVERSIDE THEATRE - 1st @ 11/10
HTF RECORD SO FAR
-£40
12w - 6pl - 21
b/f +£1043.91
c/f +£1003.91
Today’s HTF runners:
There are two HTF horses running in the same race today at Haydock which can be a problem sometimes.
However the one to be with today is;
2.40 hayd COE
The other horse to watch is NAIAD DU MISSELOT who will probably need his first run like most horses from his stable do.
4.10 hayd ALFLORA DORA
Is also one for today, highly thought of by the stable she is thought capable of winning a mares Bumper before going hurdling.
Thats it, lets hope for 2 winning performances today!!
BE LUCKY!!
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
High Court injunction for bogus tipster
Paul Eacott
A BOGUS tipster from West Sussex has been prevented from carrying out any more scams after being hit with a High Court injunction following action taken by the OFT.
Denis McCarthy sent out a series of mailshots under the name of D&E Associates offering a racing tipster service which, at a cost of up to £397, promised the chance to win "over £2,000 per week tax free". It is believed that more than 4,000 people sent money in response to the letters, netting McCarthy an estimated £300,000.
The OFT considered the mailings to be misleading as they gave the impression that the supposed experts behind D&E Associates, Peter Deegan and Christopher Emmerson, were real people with over 60 years combined experience in the racing industry who had access to inside information.
It was claimed that Deegan "had been involvedwith horse racing for nearly 40 years", and had worked as a "private handicapper for the biggest punter/owner in the UK", while Emmerson was "extremely well known within the racing fraternity". In fact, there was no evidence that either person actually existed.
Further misleading claims were made about the past success of the tipping service, including that members had made "over £350,000 clear tax-free profit in the previous six years". McCarthy failed to provide any evidence to substantiate these claims.
Mike Haley, director of consumer protection at the OFT, said: "These mailings used fictitious names and false claims to mislead thousands of consumers into sending money in the belief they would have access to a successful tipster service."
The High Court injunction prohibits McCarthy from continuing to be involved in the publication of misleading advertisements promoting tipster services.
The OFT, who were assisted by Brighton & Hove local authority trading standards service during the investigation, estimate that that the public lose at least £5 million every year to bogus racing tipsters.
- racingPost
A BOGUS tipster from West Sussex has been prevented from carrying out any more scams after being hit with a High Court injunction following action taken by the OFT.
Denis McCarthy sent out a series of mailshots under the name of D&E Associates offering a racing tipster service which, at a cost of up to £397, promised the chance to win "over £2,000 per week tax free". It is believed that more than 4,000 people sent money in response to the letters, netting McCarthy an estimated £300,000.
The OFT considered the mailings to be misleading as they gave the impression that the supposed experts behind D&E Associates, Peter Deegan and Christopher Emmerson, were real people with over 60 years combined experience in the racing industry who had access to inside information.
It was claimed that Deegan "had been involvedwith horse racing for nearly 40 years", and had worked as a "private handicapper for the biggest punter/owner in the UK", while Emmerson was "extremely well known within the racing fraternity". In fact, there was no evidence that either person actually existed.
Further misleading claims were made about the past success of the tipping service, including that members had made "over £350,000 clear tax-free profit in the previous six years". McCarthy failed to provide any evidence to substantiate these claims.
Mike Haley, director of consumer protection at the OFT, said: "These mailings used fictitious names and false claims to mislead thousands of consumers into sending money in the belief they would have access to a successful tipster service."
The High Court injunction prohibits McCarthy from continuing to be involved in the publication of misleading advertisements promoting tipster services.
The OFT, who were assisted by Brighton & Hove local authority trading standards service during the investigation, estimate that that the public lose at least £5 million every year to bogus racing tipsters.
- racingPost
Saturday, November 1, 2008
Horses to Follow
Monday, October 27, 2008
Scambusters Latest Warning!!
Racehorse Investments mail should be binned
Graham Green
THE Office of Fair Trading, determined to foil the latest bid by fraudsters to fleece unwitting punters, is urging everybody who receives a mailshot from Racehorse Investments Ltd to "put it straight in the bin."
Members of the OFT's Scambusters team are concerned that as the recession starts to bite, recipients of the high-quality brochure that promises earnings of up to £70,000 a year tax free could be seduced into sending off the joining fee.
The bogus tipsters are understood to be using a mailing list as the punter who alerted the Racing Post, John Buck from Cirencester, Gloucestershire, was among those targeted by the fictitious All England Racing Club 18 months ago, and two operations are thought to emanate from the same source in the Brighton area.
The advertising material contains a family portrait featuring somebody named Alan Stapleton who, pictured with his wife and dog, claims to have won £340,000 since signing up to the Racehorse Investments service six years ago.
But investigation has revealed the photograph is available from a company in Canada which specialises in selling stock pictures.
The supposed head office for Racehorse Investments at 34 Buckingham Palace Road, London SW1 is similarly misleading with a Scambusters investigator saying:
"It is a mailing address that has been used by a lot of fraudsters."
He added: "We are investigating Racehorse Investments Ltd, and believe it is the latest scam to come off the assembly line of a gang that has been operating in this field for some time.
The best thing anybody who gets the brochure can do is put it straight in the bin."
Buck said: "When I looked at the mailshot, it appeared too good to be true, but it is a glossy 12-page brochure and I am sure some people will be taken in by it so the more the fact that it is a scam is publicised, the better."
- racingpost
Graham Green
THE Office of Fair Trading, determined to foil the latest bid by fraudsters to fleece unwitting punters, is urging everybody who receives a mailshot from Racehorse Investments Ltd to "put it straight in the bin."
Members of the OFT's Scambusters team are concerned that as the recession starts to bite, recipients of the high-quality brochure that promises earnings of up to £70,000 a year tax free could be seduced into sending off the joining fee.
The bogus tipsters are understood to be using a mailing list as the punter who alerted the Racing Post, John Buck from Cirencester, Gloucestershire, was among those targeted by the fictitious All England Racing Club 18 months ago, and two operations are thought to emanate from the same source in the Brighton area.
The advertising material contains a family portrait featuring somebody named Alan Stapleton who, pictured with his wife and dog, claims to have won £340,000 since signing up to the Racehorse Investments service six years ago.
But investigation has revealed the photograph is available from a company in Canada which specialises in selling stock pictures.
The supposed head office for Racehorse Investments at 34 Buckingham Palace Road, London SW1 is similarly misleading with a Scambusters investigator saying:
"It is a mailing address that has been used by a lot of fraudsters."
He added: "We are investigating Racehorse Investments Ltd, and believe it is the latest scam to come off the assembly line of a gang that has been operating in this field for some time.
The best thing anybody who gets the brochure can do is put it straight in the bin."
Buck said: "When I looked at the mailshot, it appeared too good to be true, but it is a glossy 12-page brochure and I am sure some people will be taken in by it so the more the fact that it is a scam is publicised, the better."
- racingpost
Saturday, October 25, 2008
Horses to Follow
Saturdays Results
Horses to Follow results:
1.05 aint RIPPLING RING - 5th
RacingPost - Rippling Ring, moved stylishly during the race, but folded tamely approaching the last hurdle. There did not seem any obvious excuse for his weak finishing-effort.
1.35 aint TATENEN - 1st @ 4/7
RacingPost - Bookmakers fell over themselves to cut the winner for the Arkle just TATENEN’s impressive display, but there is a long time between now and the festival, and prices around 6-1 make little appeal. That said, he is clearly an exciting horse to look forward to.
2.40 aint BLACK JACARI - 2nd @ Evs
RacingPost - Black Jacari shaped well on his hurdling debut, but he did not conclusively prove that he was that willing in front. Held up early, he was given every chance to get past the winner under a powerful ride, but gave the impression that he was not fussed whether he went past or not. It will be interesting to see how he performs on a stiffer course.
4.25 aint HORA - 1st @ 7/2
RacingPost - HORA won on her debut at Ascot before easily following up in a 2m4f mares' novice at Hereford. This trip should have suited considering her best Flat efforts, and one always got the impression that the jockey had something up his sleeve despite losing his position a couple of times in the latter stages. She has surely earned a step up in class now.
1.20 chep JUNIOR - 5th @ 7/4
RacingPost - Last year's Coral Cup third Junior was well backed for this seasonal return, despite the fact he had still to taste success as a hurdler. He is not straightforward, but the pick of his form last season shows he is very capable on his day and a confidence-boosting drop in grade now looks a wise move for him.
2.20 chep BIGFELLATHANKS - 3rd @ 4/6
RacingPost - Big Fella Thanks, who signed off his novice season over hurdles with an official mark of 139, is every inch a chaser and jumped like a handicapper out in front. He felt the pinch from two out, but kept gamely to his task and eventually went down fighting. He is another who should peak this season and will not be long in finding a winning opportunity, with a softer surface likely to help his cause.
2.50 chep FOREST PENNANT - 2nd @ 5/2
RacingPost - Forest Pennant, last seen winning at Aintree on Grand National day, was popular in the betting despite resuming from a 10lb higher mark. He ran a blinder in defeat and was only agonisingly reeled in at the line after being produced to lead after four out. He remains progressive and looks yet another potentially decent chasing prospect for his leading stable.
3.05 str THE POLOMOCHE - 1st @ 2/1
RacingPost - A competitive handicap run at a strong pace which had most of the field under pressure leaving the back straight. Most, that is, except THE POLOMOCHE, who came away from the field and won with complete ease. He looks to have a bright future andwill be kept to handicap hurdles.
HTF RECORD SO FAR
+£107.14
10w - 5pl - 19
b/f +£936.77
c/f +£1043.91
BE LUCKY!!
Horses to Follow
Thursdays Results
Horses to Follow result:
2.40 carl RAYSROCK - 3rd @ 13/2
3.55 lud FIRST POINT - 1st @ 4/1
HTF RECORD SO FAR
+£415
7w - 3pl - 11
b/f +£521.77
c/f +£936.77
Today’s HTF runners:
1.05 aint RIPPLING RING
1.35 aint TATENEN (Too short a price to be a realistic betting proposition over fences)
2.40 aint BLACK JACARI
4.25 aint HORA
1.20 chep JUNIOR
2.20 chep BIGFELLATHANKS
2.50 chep FOREST PENNANT
3.05 str THE POLOMOCHE
BE LUCKY!!
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Horses to Follow
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Horses to Follow
Wednesdays Results
Horses to Follow result:
3:05 - Uttox Diamond Harry - 1st @ 13/8
3:10 - Punch Browns Baily - 5th
4:50 - Weth Marleybow - 2nd
HTF RECORD SO FAR
-£62.50
4w - 2pl - 7
b/f +£361.54
c/f +£299.04
Today’s HTF runners:
2.40 exe SHALONE
3.40 exe THE TOTHER ONE
** WARNING ** The Tother One is too short a price to be a realistic betting proposition!!
Backing chasers at odds-on is a sure way to the poor house!!
BE LUCKY!!
Monday, October 20, 2008
Benin-based scam still targeting trainers
Rodney Masters
ELATION will soon turn sour for the many trainers still receiving a £6,500 cheque in the post from a potential owner, as an advance payment for training fees for a horse yet to arrive at their stable.
Kim Bailey is one of the latest of at least a dozen trainers targeted by a fraudster who goes by the name of Austin Clarke and claims to be a Welshman living in the Republic of Benin in Africa.
As some trainers have already realised, the £6,500 cheque is worthless.
Bailey, who did not fall for the scam, has posted on his website, kimbaileyracing.com two letters he received last week from Clarke.
Written in broken English, it is clear he has little understanding of racing. He begins his second letter: "I would love to have my horse under your training and I would like you to get him fit and then race him from there because the horse has to go through your system of training.
“I would envisage him staying there for 90 days, because it could take you 90 days to get completely unfit horse race fit".
The Racing Post highlighted Clarke's scam in a story published on October 9.
He is reworking a con used for decades from Africa, centred on the difficulty of financial transactions from there, and adds: "The money that my financial institution (based in the UK) will be sending to you is a bit more than your fee for 90 days training but I would really appreciate it if I can be able to trust you with the remaining balance?"
He continues: "To avoid delay and shipping of the horse to your location, I would like you to deduct your total fee to book your services and send the balance over to our insurance shipping agent immediately, so they can make arrangements for shipping the horse to your location in the UK immediately. Thank you and hope to hear from you soon."
The fraud is being investigated by Paul Beeby, the BHA's head of intelligence, who has warned trainers not to fall for the scam via Rupert Arnold, the National Trainers'Federation's chief executive.
- racingpost
ELATION will soon turn sour for the many trainers still receiving a £6,500 cheque in the post from a potential owner, as an advance payment for training fees for a horse yet to arrive at their stable.
Kim Bailey is one of the latest of at least a dozen trainers targeted by a fraudster who goes by the name of Austin Clarke and claims to be a Welshman living in the Republic of Benin in Africa.
As some trainers have already realised, the £6,500 cheque is worthless.
Bailey, who did not fall for the scam, has posted on his website, kimbaileyracing.com two letters he received last week from Clarke.
Written in broken English, it is clear he has little understanding of racing. He begins his second letter: "I would love to have my horse under your training and I would like you to get him fit and then race him from there because the horse has to go through your system of training.
“I would envisage him staying there for 90 days, because it could take you 90 days to get completely unfit horse race fit".
The Racing Post highlighted Clarke's scam in a story published on October 9.
He is reworking a con used for decades from Africa, centred on the difficulty of financial transactions from there, and adds: "The money that my financial institution (based in the UK) will be sending to you is a bit more than your fee for 90 days training but I would really appreciate it if I can be able to trust you with the remaining balance?"
He continues: "To avoid delay and shipping of the horse to your location, I would like you to deduct your total fee to book your services and send the balance over to our insurance shipping agent immediately, so they can make arrangements for shipping the horse to your location in the UK immediately. Thank you and hope to hear from you soon."
The fraud is being investigated by Paul Beeby, the BHA's head of intelligence, who has warned trainers not to fall for the scam via Rupert Arnold, the National Trainers'Federation's chief executive.
- racingpost
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Horses to Follow
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Horses to Follow
Saturday, October 11, 2008
Horses to Follow
Thursdays Results
Horses to Follow result:
4.35 kil FINAL QUESTION - 3rd @ 15/8f
A disappointing 3rd - Chased leaders, 5th halfway, headway to 3rd 4f out, ridden and no impression 2f out, kept on one pace
HTF RECORD SO FAR
0w-1pl-1
-100
Today’s Horses to Follow runners:
BREEDSBREEZE
STRIKING ARTICLE
CRACK AWAY JACK
A big test for JACK today which will determine the route he takes this season. He needs a big performance today to go down the Champion hurdle route, otherwise he will probably go over fences according to trainer Emma Lavelle.
BE LUCKY!!
Best Tips of the Day!!
Friday, October 10, 2008
Horses to Follow
Thursday, October 9, 2008
Horses to Follow
One of my horses to follow this year is CRACK AWAY JACK.
Copy and paste the following link to see what connections think of him.
You will have to register with the Racing Post to view the video.
http://www.racingpost.co.uk/news/news.sd?psection=racingpost.co.uk&page=News&category=Crack%20Away%20Jack%20video%20special
Best Tips of the Day!!
Wednesdays Results
Exeter
2.20 - Flemish Invader
4.50 - Weather Front - 1st @ 10/3
Towcester
3.30 - Easy Dancer
5.00 - Thai Vango
RECORD SO FAR
-204
94w-81pl-365
b/f +£1408.5
c/f +£1204.5
I will be having an interest in the following horses today:
2.45 tram EBALISTA - 2pts WIN
4.05 winc RUSSIAN FLAG - 1pt WIN
0.5 e/w dbl
BE LUCKY!!
Horse to Follow result:
4.50 Exeter COPPER BLEU - NR
+0
0w-0pl-0
Wednesday, October 8, 2008
Best Tips of the Day!!
Tuesdays Results
2.50 sthl PLOTTING - 1st @ 15/8
3.20 sthl MINUS FIFTEEN - 3rd @ 4/1
RECORD SO FAR
+87.5
93w - 81pl - 361
b/f +£1321
c/f +£1408.5
Now we are in October the ground has changed and it is VERY likely you will get some strange results at the flat meetings.
For that reason I will be concentrating on National Hunt racing from now until next May.
Exeter
2.20 - Flemish Invader - 1pt e/w
4.50 - Weather Front - 1pt e/w
Towcester
3.30 - Easy Dancer, - 1pt e/w
5.00 - Thai Vango - 1pt e/w
The first horse out on my Horses to Follow list runs today:
4.50 Exeter COPPER BLEU
BE LUCKY!!
Friday, October 3, 2008
ARC DE' TRIOMPH
At the moment, assumimg ground on the soft side, I am leaning towards,
SOLDIER OF FORTUNE with a saver on VISION D'ETAT.
SOLDIER OF FORTUNE has apparantly been trained for this race.
(Interview with K Fallon)
If the ground is on the soft side he will handle it better than the other runners.
If Johnny Murtagh rides the SOLDIER this should be taken as a positive, although Seamie Heffernan is no poor substitute having won a couple of Group 1's himself this season.
DUKE OF MARMALADE has had a busy season already and this MAY be a race too far!!
There is rain around in France and DUKE OF MARMALADE may not run, as he prefers Gd/Fst ground.
Some stats to digest.
Twelve of the last seventeen runnings of the Arc were won by lightly raced, strongly fancied French trained three year olds.
A pointer to the winner of the ARC can be found in the Prix Niel, which has provided every one of the last eight 3yo winners.
While the last eight 3yo winners of the ARC all contested the Prix Niel, not all actually won that trial.
The 2008 Prix Neil was won by the Eric Libaud trained Vision D'etat
No winner of the Prix Vermeille (Zarkava) has won the Arc in the same season since Three Troikas in 1979.
Horses above the age of five and fillies (Zarkava) do not have a great record in the race; nor do horses that have been peaked to take in mid Summer races such as the King George.
The draw is of crucial importance, with only one winner in the last fourteen years (Sakhee) racing from a stall number higher than nine.
In the 2008 renewal the leading contenders are drawn as follows;
Soldier of Fortune - 9 ; Zarkava - 1; Kasmin - 12; Vision D'etat - 8; Getaway - 7; Duke of Marmalade - 14
Thursday, October 2, 2008
LAY of the day!!
DON'T FORGET THESE ARE LAY BETS!!
Sorry no selection today!!
4.05 Ayr, There was a selection in this race but with four non-runners it is a NO BET for me!!
There is always tomorrow on the horses!!
And hopefully our Golf bets will go well this week.
Record so far:
13 winning bets from 15 selections.
b/f +£722.20
c/f +£822.20
BE LUCKY!!
For P&L purposes I use a stake of £105.30 which produces a profit of just over £100 when the selection LOSES.
Turning Stone Resort Championship - Oct 2nd
With a lot of the big guns taking a well earned rest for a while, hopefully we can find the winner of this weeks tournament at Turning Stone.
My four against the field this week are:
C PETTERSON - 2.5 pts WIN @ 20/1
D HART - 2 pts WIN @ 25/1
S FLESCH - 1.5 pts WIN @ 33/1
R IMADA - 1 pts WIN @ 45/1
GOOD LUCK TO ALL!!
RECORD SO FAR
-350
1w-1pl-13
B/f +£2510
C/f +£2160
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LAST TOURNAMENT RESULT:
Paul Casey 0.5pt WIN @ 50/1 - T15 on 287
Lee Westwood 1pt WIN @ 25/1 - Missed Cut
Kenny Perry 1pt WIN @ 45/1 - Retired with Eye Injury
Hunter Mahan 0.5pt WIN @ 50/1 - Missed Cut
Zach Johnson 0.5 WIN @ 110/1 - Missed Cut
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Best Tips of the Day!!
Sundays Results
2.15 curr SPRINGFORT - 3rd @ 7/1
2.45 curr THREE WAY STRETCH
3.15 curr BEACH BUNNY - 1st @ 3/1
4.45 curr CENTRAL STATION
5.15 curr MASTA PLASTA - 2nd @ 6/4
RECORD SO FAR
-100
92w - 80pl - 359
b/f +£1421
c/f +£1321
I will be having an interest in the following horses today:
2.50 sthl PLOTTING
3.20 sthl MINUS FIFTEEN
BE LUCKY!!
LAY of the day!!
Mondays selection, Tubby Isaacs finished 5th making it a win bet for us and adding £100 to the bank.
DON'T FORGET THESE ARE LAY BETS!!
Sorry no selection today!!
Record so far:
13 winning bets from 15 selections.
b/f +£722.20
c/f +£822.20
BE LUCKY!!
For P&L purposes I use a stake of £105.30 which produces a profit of just over £100 when the selection LOSES.
Monday, September 29, 2008
LAY of the day!!
Mondays selection, Spate River finished 2nd making it a win bet for us and adding £100 to the bank.
DON'T FORGET THESE ARE LAY BETS!!
Today’s selection
2.30 Wind, Tubby Isaacs
Record so far:
12 winning bets from 14 selections.
b/f +£622.20
c/f +£722.20
BE LUCKY!!
For P&L purposes I use a stake of £105.30 which produces a profit of just over £100 when the selection LOSES.
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Frankie goes to Ascot
It's been a bit quiet recently, but with a two day festival to look forward to starting tomorrow, I thought it would be nice to enjoy once again Frankies unbelievable day at Ascot all those years ago.
Monday, September 22, 2008
LAY of the day!!
Our last selection actually got up to win, after 2 horses were withdrawn from the race, which means a loss for us!!
For future reference I would advise reducing stakes, or not having a bet, when there are 10 or less runners.
4.00 Pont, Persian Sea - 1st @ 11/4f
So loading the starting price by 10% gives us a loss of £318.53
DON'T FORGET THESE ARE LAY BETS!!
Todays selection
4.50 Leic, Spate River
Record so far:
11 winning bets from 13 selections.
b/f +940.73
c/f +£622.20
BE LUCKY!!
For P&L purposes I use a stake of £105.30 which produces a profit of just over £100 when the selection LOSES.
Thursday, September 18, 2008
LAY of the day!!
DON'T FORGET THESE ARE LAY BETS!!
4.00 Pont, Persian Sea
Yesterdays selection Kingdom Of Fife was a winning bet adding another £100 to the coffers.
Record so far:
11 winning bets from 12 selections.
+£940.73
For P&L purposes I use a stake of £105.30 which produces a profit of just over £100 when the selection LOSES.
BE LUCKY!!
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
LAY of the day!!
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