2011 GRAND NATIONAL

ARBOR SUPREME - 1pt win @ 50/1
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NICHE MARKET - 1.5pts @ 25/1

2009 Irish Ntl winner.
2010 Grand Ntl carried 11’ 4lb, may get in around at the same weight.
Mid-division, blundered 12th, lost place 24th (2nd Canal Turn), behind when pulled up after 3 out (tchd 18-1)

Now trained by Paul Nicholls, could shorten in price with a big run in the Hennesy.

Won't be 25/1 if Ruby Walsh decides to ride him in the National.
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11 of the last 14 winners (including the last 5) were aged either 9 or 10.
1 x 8-year-old,
1 x 11-year-old
1 x 12-year-old winner

Only five post-war winners have won carrying more than 11st 5lbs and two of those were Red Rum!

DON'T PUSH IT is up against it as an 11yo - he carried 11' 5lb last year and will no doubt have to carry more this year.

BLACK APALACHI is also up against it as an 12yo - finished 2nd in 2010 carrying 11' 6lb and will likely have to carry more this year.

BE LUCKY!!

2011 GRAND NATIONAL

Experience counts in the Grand National and 11 of the last 14 winners (including the last 5) were aged either 9 or 10.
In that period there has also been one 8-year-old, one 11-year-old, and one 12-year-old winner.

Previous experience of the National fences is also a very important factor.

ARBOR SUPREME - 1pt win @ 50/1

Unseated rider last year, trained by Willy Mullins who has won this before

BE LUCKY!!

2011 GRAND NATIONAL

Is a stats race and the plan is to put together an ante-post portfolio of likely winners.


Also an opportunity to dismiss the Bookmaker hyped horses who have no chance.


Age stat - 8yo-10yo have the best record


HELLO BUD

a live National contender when he returns to Aintree in the spring - TOTESPORT

I don't think so, not as a 13yo next year

Best Bets of the Day!!

12.55 asc ARTURO BOY - 1pt win @ 4/1

2.50 hay PEVERIL - 2pts win @ 15/2

0.5 e/w dbl


P Nicholls Treble

MASTER MINDED
WOOLCOMBE FOLLY
CURRENT EVENT

Week 1
2 wins from 3 selections

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

1.15 exe PAVILLON BLEU - 2pts win @ 3/1

Course winner, goes on Hvy ground, in-form trainer

Pavillon Bleu has won three times from five visits to Exeter

Sunday - Troytown Handicap

MOSKOVA - 1pt win @ 14/1
1pt e/w @ 14/1

BE LUCKY!!

2011 TRIUMPH HURDLE

FRANKLINO runs today at Hereford, and must win to be a TRIUMPH contender.

"well touted prior to hurdling debut at Aintree, but he pulled hard and tired to finish third. Bound to do better with that experience behind him" - timeform.

I can't resist another investment at the price, as if he wins well he will shorten a good bit in price.

a/post TRIUMPH HDL

FRANKLINO - 1pt @ 25/1

BE LUCKY!!

CHELTENHAM - RSA Chase

ANTE POST

QUEL ESPRIT - 1pt win @ 20/1

Trainers horse-to-follow last year, runs today (1/2 favorite) and if he wins impressively he won't be 20/1 after the race.