Horses to Follow

A few horses that need to be dropped from our list as they have proved disappointing so far.

BLACK JACARI is not running to the level expected.

NAIAD DU MISSELOT is not taking to fences at all even though he was superb over hurdles.

BIGFELLATHANKS is another whose jumping is letting him down.

Those 3 horses have been removed from the list.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALARM BELLS RINGING

CRACK AWAY JACK does not look like winning at the top level over hurdles and may go over fences as he is unlikely to be good enough to win a Champion hurdle.

EBAZIYAN is proving a difficult horse to win with, sometimes at prohibitive odds.
I will give him one more chance next time out IF the ground is good and he goes off at decent odds. i.e. Not Odds-on, as has won only once in 11 races since March 2007.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY BAY is a horse to be added to our list over 2m4f.

I read the horse is being aimed at the ARKLE at Cheltenham which is a 2 mile race and it is doubtful he will have the speed to win that. The reason he is being aimed at the ARKLE is because there is no 2.5 mile championship race at the meeting.
There is however a 2.5 mile race at AINTREE for him.

WALKON is being aimed at the TRIUMPH hurdle and should be added to our list. He finished 2nd to the current favorite ZAYNAR carrying a 7lb penalty and they will meet in the TRIUMPH at level weights.

BE LUCKY!!

Horses to Follow

Another 2 horses it should prove profitable to follow this NH season are the Willie Mullins trained JAYO and MIKAEL D'HAGUENET; although I wouldn't be rushing in to back them ante-post for the Cheltenham festival yet:


JAYO

racingPost - An effortless win for JAYO who continued his rate of progression in no uncertain terms dropping down to the minimum trip for his fourth outing over fences.

"I don't think the ground really bothers him at all, he'll go on anything." - trainer Willie Mullins


MIKAEL D'HAGUENET

racingPost - According to the winning rider after this impressive performance, the French import is a machine. And who is to argue?

As regards Cheltenham, if the ground comes up quick we probably won't bring him - trainer Willie Mullins

Horses to Follow

Today at 1.15 at Punchestown EBAZIYAN runs in a hurdle race, and although a bit short to back on his first run this season, hopefully he should put in an impressive performance.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Four more horses that should be on your list for the rest of the season, if not there already.

GIVE IT TIME

RED MOLONEY

GONE TO LUNCH

DAVES DREAM

Be Lucky!!

Horses to Follow

A few good winners from our Horses to Follow list in the last couple of days.

HURRICANE FLY - Very highly thought of by his trainer.

COUSIN VINNY - Hopefully will improve again after his first win over hurdles

STARLUCK - Another with plenty of potential, unbeaten in 3 over hurdles

NATIONAL PETITION - Kept up his winning streak and could be still improving

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2 more from the list that hopefully should win for us:

1.30 leop TRAFFORD LAD - Should get Evens or better on the exchanges

2.35 leop NEPTUNE COLLONGES

Be Lucky!!

LAYing Staking Plan

Someone emailed me asking how to use a Staking plan when LAYing horses (Betting on them to lose).

A simple Staking plan is to risk 2% of your betting bank on each LAY bet.

So for example if you have a Betting Bank of £1000, you risk £20 (2% of Bank) in each LAY bet.

If the horse you are LAYing is 2/1, the Backers stake will be £10, meaning if the horse loses you WIN £10.

If the horse wins however you will LOSE £20.

You can recalculate the size of your Bank at the end of each day or at the end of each week, whichever you find the most convenient.

So if you decide to recalculate weekly, and your Bank stands at £1100 after 1 week, you now risk £22 (2% of the Bank) in each LAY bet.

Hope that makes sense to everybody!!

AND I LAUGHED!!

A few funnies from around the forums:


"years ago on grand national day,a novice punter asked me to fill in his betting slip,when i asked if he was paying tax,his reply was no,i am at college."

"old jamaican man 'that jockey couldnt ride my sister'"

"HE NO TRY! HE NO TRY! HE NO TRY!
Chinese punters getting angry at one of the jockeys @ portman park."

Horses to Follow

Been a bit lax recently, but one to be on today and also for the notebook is:


OUR BOMBER HARRIS in the 1.15 at Fontwell.


You could well see this one lining up in the Cheltenham Gold Cup in a couple of years!!

Listening to an interview with a very bullish George Baker today,he thinks KANGRINA @ 9/2 is his best chance of the day and BUGSYS BOY @ 6/1 is a cracking e/w bet.

1.45 BUGSYS BOY

2.00 KANGRINA

Be Lucky!!