Best Bets of the Day!!

It looks as though we have a few good chances of collecting today.

12.35 ThoughtsOfStardom

1.05 KHELEY

1.20 DARK LOVER

3.50 PEPE SIMO

Hers's hoping for a profitable day!!

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CHELTENHAM PORTFOLIO 2011

TRIUMPH HDL Update

A MEDIA LUZ - 1pt win @ 33/1
---------------------------------

FRANKLINO - 1 pts @ 25/1 - Has proved very disappointing so far
1pt @ 16/1
-----------------

WARNING - Fav SAM WINNER @ 9/2 "WILL NOT RUN if fast ground" - P Nicholls

Best Bets of the Day!!

11.55 POUNGACH - 1.5pts win @ 10/3

2.45 TANKS FOR THAT - 2pts win @ 15/8

12.25 ROCK ON RUBY @ 1/1 & 1.35 TOUBAB @ 11/10 - 1pt win dbl

2.10 HIDDEN KEEL - 0.5pt win @ 16/1

3.20 MY ARCH - 1pt win @ 8/1

Here's hoping for a profitable day!!

LADBROKE HURDLE

RECESSION PROOF - 1pt win @ 20/1
1pt e/w @ 20/1


Fingers crossed for a big run on Saturday!!

KING GEORGE

A nice profit of 4.5pts on Saturday with a Swinger bet coming in for us - pity BURTON POINT couldn't quite run down the winner and make it an even better day!!

A/Post King George - 26 December

SIZING EUROPE - 1pt win @ 16/1


BE LUCKY!!

2011 GRAND NATIONAL

BACKSTAGE 1 pt win @ 40/1

2010 National - in touch when hampered and unseated rider 20th.

Trainer has won this before, should carry around 11 stone again.
------------------------------

ARBOR SUPREME - 1pt win @ 50/1


NICHE MARKET - 1.5pts @ 25/1

2009 Irish Ntl winner.
2010 Grand Ntl carried 11’ 4lb, may get in around at the same weight.
Mid-division, blundered 12th, lost place 24th (2nd Canal Turn), behind when pulled up after 3 out (tchd 18-1)

Now trained by Paul Nicholls, could shorten in price with a big run in the Hennesy.

Won't be 25/1 if Ruby Walsh decides to ride him in the National.
-------------------------------------

11 of the last 14 winners (including the last 5) were aged either 9 or 10.
1 x 8-year-old,
1 x 11-year-old
1 x 12-year-old winner

Only five post-war winners have won carrying more than 11st 5lbs and two of those were Red Rum!

DON'T PUSH IT is up against it as an 11yo - he carried 11' 5lb last year and will no doubt have to carry more this year.

BLACK APALACHI is also up against it as an 12yo - finished 2nd in 2010 carrying 11' 6lb and will likely have to carry more this year.

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

Hennessy Gold Cup

BURTON PORT - 1pt win @ 9/1

TARANIS - 1pt win @ 12/1

DENMAN - If he wins this it will need a best ever performance, but should be in the mix.

3 x 1pt Swinger bets

3.40 PASCO - 2pts win @ 13/2, Best Odds Guaranteed at Bet365
---------------------------

2 winners from 3 selections at 5/6f and 7/2 in the trainers treble last week

Running Total 4 wins from 6 selections.

This weeks treble

BIG BUCKS
DENMAN
PASCO

BE LUCKY!!

2011 GRAND NATIONAL

ARBOR SUPREME - 1pt win @ 50/1
------------------------------

NICHE MARKET - 1.5pts @ 25/1

2009 Irish Ntl winner.
2010 Grand Ntl carried 11’ 4lb, may get in around at the same weight.
Mid-division, blundered 12th, lost place 24th (2nd Canal Turn), behind when pulled up after 3 out (tchd 18-1)

Now trained by Paul Nicholls, could shorten in price with a big run in the Hennesy.

Won't be 25/1 if Ruby Walsh decides to ride him in the National.
-------------------------------------

11 of the last 14 winners (including the last 5) were aged either 9 or 10.
1 x 8-year-old,
1 x 11-year-old
1 x 12-year-old winner

Only five post-war winners have won carrying more than 11st 5lbs and two of those were Red Rum!

DON'T PUSH IT is up against it as an 11yo - he carried 11' 5lb last year and will no doubt have to carry more this year.

BLACK APALACHI is also up against it as an 12yo - finished 2nd in 2010 carrying 11' 6lb and will likely have to carry more this year.

BE LUCKY!!

2011 GRAND NATIONAL

Experience counts in the Grand National and 11 of the last 14 winners (including the last 5) were aged either 9 or 10.
In that period there has also been one 8-year-old, one 11-year-old, and one 12-year-old winner.

Previous experience of the National fences is also a very important factor.

ARBOR SUPREME - 1pt win @ 50/1

Unseated rider last year, trained by Willy Mullins who has won this before

BE LUCKY!!

2011 GRAND NATIONAL

Is a stats race and the plan is to put together an ante-post portfolio of likely winners.


Also an opportunity to dismiss the Bookmaker hyped horses who have no chance.


Age stat - 8yo-10yo have the best record


HELLO BUD

a live National contender when he returns to Aintree in the spring - TOTESPORT

I don't think so, not as a 13yo next year

Best Bets of the Day!!

12.55 asc ARTURO BOY - 1pt win @ 4/1

2.50 hay PEVERIL - 2pts win @ 15/2

0.5 e/w dbl


P Nicholls Treble

MASTER MINDED
WOOLCOMBE FOLLY
CURRENT EVENT

Week 1
2 wins from 3 selections

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

1.15 exe PAVILLON BLEU - 2pts win @ 3/1

Course winner, goes on Hvy ground, in-form trainer

Pavillon Bleu has won three times from five visits to Exeter

Sunday - Troytown Handicap

MOSKOVA - 1pt win @ 14/1
1pt e/w @ 14/1

BE LUCKY!!

2011 TRIUMPH HURDLE

FRANKLINO runs today at Hereford, and must win to be a TRIUMPH contender.

"well touted prior to hurdling debut at Aintree, but he pulled hard and tired to finish third. Bound to do better with that experience behind him" - timeform.

I can't resist another investment at the price, as if he wins well he will shorten a good bit in price.

a/post TRIUMPH HDL

FRANKLINO - 1pt @ 25/1

BE LUCKY!!

CHELTENHAM - RSA Chase

ANTE POST

QUEL ESPRIT - 1pt win @ 20/1

Trainers horse-to-follow last year, runs today (1/2 favorite) and if he wins impressively he won't be 20/1 after the race.

Best Bets of the Day!!

Nothing of interest today.

Good wins by MENORAH and GILSLAND made us a healthy profit at the weekend.

Best Bets of the Day!!

2.35 chelt CATCH ME - 2pts win @ 9/1

3.10 chelt SUPERCEDE - 2pts win @ 8/1

3.25 weth GILSLAND - 2pts win @ 7/2


HOPING FOR A GOOD DAY AT THE OFFICE!!

Greatwood Hdl

Menorah - 2.5pts win @ 7/1 :)

"We would love to see Menorah win the Greatwood on Sunday as then he would be on the way to the Champion Hurdle.

"He is only five and we hope he has improved from last season. If he cannot win a handicap off 151 then he is not going to win the ChampionHurdle. I would not want it very soft, although good to soft is fine."

"He's realistically priced. We hope he can perform very well and it will be very disappointing if he is not placed. - p hobbs

Best Bets of the Day!!

BC MARATHON

PRECISION BREAK - 3pts win, 2pts place @ 11/1

1m 6f on a stamina sapping Dirt surface.

Very, very few Dirt races in US are run over more than 9f, and this horse with a Dirt pedigree might just make all and run them into the ground :)

Win returns 33pts

Place returns 5.5pts

IF THIS ONE WINS PLAY UP YOUR WINNINGS ON:

Winter Memories

Red Desire

BE LUCKY!!

SILVINIACO CONTI

Silviniaco Conti stays hurdling.

Hold fire if you are thinking of backing him for the Champion hdl - as I see him more of a 2m4f horse at this stage - I don't think he will have the pace in the top company over 2m. - p nicholls

Best Bets of the Day!!

2.50 weth DUC DE REGNIER - 2.5pts win @ 11/5

3.25 weth THE TOTHER ONE - 2pts win @ 4/1

3.40 asc TAKE THE BREEZE - 2pts win @ 5/1

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

I have added Silviniaco Conti to myo notebook as the horse he beat CAPTAIN CHRIS is very highly thought of.

2.00 towc RED ROUBLE 2pts @ 4/1

2.30 towc AMMUNITION - 2pts @ 9/2

FRANKLINO makes his debut today and I will be watching with great interest - the price is too short for me for a horses first run over hurdles.

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

3.35 chep CAPTAIN CHRIS - 2.5pts @ 7/5

4.10 chep DUKE OF LUCCA - 1pt @ 13/2

In form stable, and both on my horse-to-follow list

5.40 aint SCOTER FONTAINE - 2pts @ 5/2

Best Bets of the Day!!

CESAREWITCH

Horses drawn in stalls 1-10 have a poor record in the race -
0 wins, 5 places in last 11 years.

SENTRY DUTY is of interest d26, but has a lot of weight to carry

The obvious one is UNIVERSAL TRUTH trained by Dermot Weld - well drawn in 32 with a low weight and a very useful apprentice on board.

2.5 pts e/w @ 8/1 - 1/4 odds first 5

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

3.20 - Thai Vango - 2pts win @ 9/4

BE LUCKY!!

Cheltenham 2011 - TRIUMPH HURDLE

a/post TRIUMPH HDL


FRANKLINO - 1pt @ 16/1

At the following bookmakers

Best Bets of the Day!!

4.35 DANCING TORNADO - 2pts win @ 7/2


BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

Last few weeks of the flat season, ground has changed....previous form can be ignored - look for horses that go on the ground and expect surprises!!

2.30 DINKUM DIAMOND

3.05 ROYAL ROCK

3.40 SIBEREAN TIGER


N/H PICKS

5.10 GULLIBLE GORDON

5.15 OTAGE DE BRION


BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

NEWMARKET

2.25 FURY

3.00 SAPHRESA

CAMBRIDGESHIRE

My picks here were:

ABSINTHE

MIRRORED

NATIONALISM

I am happy with 2 of those..............BUT here is an update.................

OK this is what I have read/heard from the pundits/experts/Uncle Tom Cobbly and all.....

Mid to Hi draw is preferred - Michael Hills...........

BUT I think if the rain stays away the going might be the same all across the track.

Because there are 35 runners, those drawn Low will either have to tack across to the middle, OR stay on the left rail.

The BEST horse is said to be NATIONALISM drawn 3, 'a group horse in a Hcp' from all accounts, doesn't seem to mind the ground - Buick is ultra confident he will win.

TAQLEED drawn 26, another Gosden hotpot - Buick thinks this is the one to beat - Gosden thinks this one is the VALUE choice, mind you that was when NATIONALISM was 7/2.

ABSINTHE drawn 28, is another horse that will be listed class and has a HI draw, and is my original fancy - It is also the P/Wise selection.

Horses need luck in running............. BUT if those 3 are that good, one of them will win imo.

:):)

Of the others,

CIRCUMVENT drawn 35 of 35 has been tipped, because last years winner made all against that rail.

CREDIT SWAP drawn 33, has been tipped because he loves soft ground and has a HI draw.

STEEL TANGO drawn 16 is another horse that has run in group races, and has a top apprentice on board.

EMIRATES DREAM drawn 29, is Godolphin and Frankie rides.

SMOKEY OAKEY will have a chance if a monsoon hits.

CAPPONI - Murtagh rides for Mark Johnston

PIRES - Irish raider

Best Bets of the Day!!

2.35 nmk PROFONDO ROSSI

2pts win @ 4/1

Best Bets of the Day!!

ASCOT JACKPOT/PLACEPOT

13:55 Deloitte Rosemary Handicap (Fillies' Listed) (Str)
Sajjhaa

14:30 Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Rnd)
Frankel

15:05 Meon Valley Stud Fillies' Mile (Group 1) (Rnd)
White Moonstone

15:40 totesport.com Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap)
Redford - Axiom - Sarasota Sunshine

16:15 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Sony) (Group 1) (Rnd)
Rip Van Winkle

16:50 Miles & Morrison October Stakes (Fillies' Listed)
Mosqueras Romance

17:25 Tabac Gordon Carter Handicap
Bow To No One - Perfect Shot


BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

Staying HIGH again in the 2 big sprints of the day at AYR.

AYR SILVER CUP

TIDDLIWINKS - 2pts e/w

ABLE MASTER - 1pt e/w @ 40/1



AYR GOLD CUP

JONNY MUDBALL 2pts e/w @ 8/1

NOVERRE TO GO - 1pt e/w @ 20/1


BE LUCKY!!

Best odds guaranteed and 1/4 the odds 5 places @ BET365

BET365

Best Bets of the Day!!

The ground today at AYR is more or less the same as yesterday, and the only sprint had the first 4 home drawn.

18-19-16-6 of 19 runners.

That may of well been where the pace was, but I am staying HIGH in todays big sprint.

My 3 against the field are:

COURAGEOUS
AMENABLE
COOLMINX

Best Bets of the Day!!

CAMBRIDGESHIRE Update

ABSINTHE - 2pts win @ 20/1

A second selection in the Cambridge is MIRRORED - 0.66pt e/w @ 33/1
------------------------

4.20 MIRRORED runs today - 2pts win @ 7/2

If he wins the 33/1 available in 4 places will likely disappear.

2.20 NEW SPRINGS - 2pts win

5.20 LORD AERYN - 2pts win


A saver may be a good idea on

NATIONALISM 1pt @ 8/1 (was 10/1 and 12/1 with Stan James)

A real springer in the race, as he is supposedly a John Gosden Group horse in a Hcp.

He may not get into the race, but if he does he is expected to be a major gamble.

Money back if balloted out.
-----------------------------

ABSINTHE was reported to have scoped badly and was a doubtful runner - but now I hear that he only couched, ONCE!!

Where do they get these stories from??
-------------------------------------

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

AYR GOLD CUP

No selections until the draw is announced.............just news on a few of interest

Trainer Jim Goldie believes Hawkeyethenoo is the horse that could end his dismal record in the Ayr Gold Cup. .

"I'll be trying to win it. This is my best chance for a long while. I haven't troubled the judge at all. I think fifth is the best I've done, so I'm pretty hopeful this time," he went on.

"He'll have a good chance and it should be good ground on Saturday." - sportinglife

RESULTS

STOP AT A WINNER - & TOTE JACKPOT ENTRY

14:10 Neptune Investment Management Champagne Stakes (Group 2)
Approve at 4/1 - 2ND


14:45 Ladbrokes Portland (Heritage Handicap)
Tiddliwinks at 12/1 - 4TH


15:20 Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (Group 1)
Arctic Cosmos at 9/1 - 1ST - Rewilding


15:55 Eddie Stobart Park Stakes (Group 2)
Harrison George at 25/1


16:25 Powell Engineering Nursery (Str)
Buthelezi at 3/1 - 1ST


17:00 Agriargo UK Tractor Challenge Handicap (Str)
Bushman at 10/1 - NR


17:35 Doncaster Premier Inn And Table Table Handicap
Yorgunnabelucky at 12/1

Britaine: United Kingdom's search engine

Best Bets of the Day!!

ANTE-POST TIP FROM 17 AUGUST

ST LEGER

REWILDING - 4pts win @ 9/2

BE LUCKY!!

STOP AT A WINNER - & TOTE JACKPOT ENTRY

14:10 Neptune Investment Management Champagne Stakes (Group 2)
Approve at 4/1


14:45 Ladbrokes Portland (Heritage Handicap)
Tiddliwinks at 12/1


15:20 Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (Group 1)
Arctic Cosmos at 9/1 - Rewilding


15:55 Eddie Stobart Park Stakes (Group 2)
Harrison George at 25/1


16:25 Powell Engineering Nursery (Str)
Buthelezi at 3/1


17:00 Agriargo UK Tractor Challenge Handicap (Str)
Bushman at 10/1


17:35 Doncaster Premier Inn And Table Table Handicap
Yorgunnabelucky at 12/1

Best Bets of the Day!!

Today is Day 1 of the St Leger meeting at Doncaster.

The going is gd/sft BUT will likely get more testing as the ground cuts up.

Make sure your selections go on testing ground!!

3.10 donc TAX FREE - 2pts win @ 4/1

Loves sft ground


4.20 donc AL ZIR - 2pts win @ 15/8

Sft ground OK - main danger WIGMORE HALL ran in the US 2 weeks ago - has he recovered in time for this race?
He also may not like the ground

1pt e/w dbl
------------------------------------

CAMBRIDGESHIRE HCP

ABSINTHE - 2pts win @ 12/1

MIRRORED - 0.66pt e/w @ 33/1

Although the following stat might be seen as a negative for MIRRORED:

Tim Easterby hcap runners: 0 winners, 4 placed from 27 runners since 2004

But then maybe it is about time he had a winner!!

BE LUCKY!!


Britaine: United Kingdom's search engine

Best Bets of the Day!!

DUNDALK

3.50 AN MHI @ 3/1

5.25 ENDLESS EXPANSE @ 7/2

2 x 2 pts win

1pt e/w dbl

BE LUCKY!!

we are in

Britaine.co.uk

united kingdom's search engine

Best Bets of the Day!!

An opportunity to win the stake money for a 1000gns ante-post punt.


3.50 sal MARGOT DID - 2pts win @ Evens

1000 Gns MARGOT DID - 1pt win @ 33/1
------------------------------------

GODOLPHIN in September usually have plenty of winners, although the prices tend to be short!!

3:15 Khawlah SALISBURY

3:40 In Footlights REDCAR

5:30 La De Two SALISBURY

5:30 Peligroso SALISBURY

8:50 Bronze Prince WOLVERHAMPTON

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

I backed RED CADEAUX last time out, and he just got beat into 2nd place.

If we get rain this week he should run at Haydock on Saturday.

Best Bets of the Day!!

4.50 curr IRISH HEARTBEAT

1pt e/w - MURTAGH & FAHEY on a fancied horse in Ireland is a combination I like

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

2.00 good AXIOM @ 3/1

In-form trainer, horse loves sft ground

5.25 good VIVIANI

Trainer sounded confident in interview, and soft ground a positive


BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

Another +50pts profit on Day 2 of the EBOR meeting - thats over 87pts profit so far this week.
----------------------------------------------------

Today is the day to see if the 2yo allowance of 24lb is enough to reel STARSPANGLEDBANNER in at the finish.

John Best, Stone Of Folca
"We have a good draw next to Starspangledbanner. The horse is in great form, but we won't know until the race whether he is good enough to go up against older horses."


Both drawn high, which has been an advantage so far this meeting.

EQUIANO is drawn low in trap 3. If he edges across to the middle he has to cover extra ground - maybe he will stay that side and blast away in a straight line along the rail.

NUNTHORPE

STONE OF FOLCA - 1pt win, and 1pt e/w @ 12/1 - 1/4 odds with S James

2 x SWINGER bets - STONE OF FOLCA & STARSPANGLEDBANNER

STONE OF FOLCA & EQUIANO

2yo's get a very generous weight allowance in the race.

Trainer has won this before with a 2yo.

Horse has been trained for the race.
-----------------------------------

GOING FOR A BIG ONE!!

STONE OF FOLCA (Nunthorpe) @ 12/1 & ARCTIC COSMOS (St Leger) @ 8/1

1pt e/w dbl: 2 places pays +9.2pts
2 wins pays +116pts

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

+37.1pts profit on Day 1 of the EBOR meeting.

And a 4pts @ 9/2 voucher on REWILDING in the St Leger

Lets hope for another profitable days punting!!

EBOR

DIRAR - 2pts win @ 14/1 Bet365, Hills, Skybet, S. James
and 1pt e/w, 1/4 the odds e/w 4 places.

Ran a stormer at Galway for shrewd trainer.

Out to 16/1 in the market since this a/post bet, but P/wise has put up a couple of selections that has most of the others drifting.

At least the trainer is confident.

Gordon Elliott, Dirar "He came out of the Galway well and has been pleasing us. He's proved himself versatile and is in good form. We're looking forward to a big run."

The stats also seem in his favour: Age, weight, draw and the way the race is usually run.

-----------------------------------

2.15 OPINION POLL - 2pts win @ 15/4

2.50 CASUAL GLIMPSE - 2pts win @ 9/2

1pt win dbl

Best Bets of the Day!!

EBOR NOTES - weather and draw will affect any additional selections.

Martyr 6lbs and progressing well.

Bernie The Bolt is three pounds well-in.

Overturn is a front runner but has pace to quicken off the front, has form on soft but is effective on top of the ground.

Fortuni's looks to have been laid out for the race.

Also some shrewdly trained Irish runners as well.
- sportinglife.com

Best Bets of the Day!!

YORK - DAY 1

2.50 REWILDING - 4pts win @ 9/4

3.25 RIP VAN WINKLE - 4pts win @ 9/4

2pt win dbl

1 winner +3pts

2 winners +37pts
---------------------------
ST LEGER

REWILDING - 4pts win @ 9/2

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

SATURDAY 14 Aug

Gt St Wilfred Hcp

TAJNEED 5pts win @ 7/1

A big fan of the trainer, horse loves the track (3wins from memory), loves sft ground (rain expected tomorrow), HI draw is a +ve on soft ground.

Fill your boots.

2.5pts e/w if you want to play safe

GOOD LUCK!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

EBOR

DIRAR - 2pts win @ 14/1 Bet365, Hills, Skybet, S. James
and 1pt e/w, 1/4 the odds e/w 4 places.

Ran a stormer at Galway for shrewd trainer.

Tuesday - Gordon Elliott said: "Dirar will go for the Ebor and will have a grand weight on his back." - racingpost.com

------------------------------------------------------
DIRAR seems to be drifting in the market for some reason, which is a bit worrying??**


NUNTHORPE

STONE OF FOLCA - 1pt win, and 1pt e/w @ 12/1 - 1/4 odds with S James :)

2yo's get a very generous weight allowance in the race.

Trainer has won this before with a 2yo.

Horse has been trained for the race.
------------------------------------

GOING FOR A BIG ONE!!

STONE OF FOLCA (Nunthorpe) @ 12/1 & ARCTIC COSMOS (St Leger) @ 8/1

1pt e/w dbl: 2 places pays +9.2pts
2 wins pays +116pts

BE LUCKY!!

Best Bets of the Day!!

EBOR

DIRAR - 2pts win @ 14/1 Bet365, Hills, Betfred
and 1pt e/w, 1/4 the odds e/w 4 places.

Ran a stormer at Galway for shrewd trainer.

Tuesday - Gordon Elliott said: "Dirar will go for the Ebor and will have a grand weight on his back." - racingpost.com

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